Problems › We Need a Turnaround Sequence
What has to survive scrutiny before it reaches the board pack — applied to we need a turnaround sequence, where the numbers have to reconcile before the story does.
A CFO is rarely short of analysis. What is scarce is analysis that survives being questioned — where every number has a visible derivation, the assumptions are stated rather than embedded, and the case does not quietly change shape when one input moves.
That is a different requirement from the one an operating team has. An operator needs a decision they can act on this week. A finance function needs a decision it can still defend in six months, to an auditor, a lender or a board that has since watched the market move.
The practical consequence is that the useful output is not a recommendation. It is a recommendation with its arithmetic attached, a stated downside, and a named condition under which it stops being the right answer.
A turnaround that fixes one leak at a time fails when the leaks cause each other. Sequence is the product. Distress feels like ten problems. Cash is short, customers are leaving, the best people are updating LinkedIn, a lender wants a pack, and every function has a plan that assumes the others hold still. Fixing “the margin” this month and “the pipeline” next month is how you discover they were the same system.
Read the full treatment of we need a turnaround sequence, including the signals that distinguish it from neighbouring problems and the move that usually makes it worse.
What has to survive scrutiny before it reaches the board pack. In practice that means four things:
✓ Every figure traces to either your own ledger or a stated assumption — no unattributed benchmarks
✓ The downside case is genuinely adverse rather than the base case reduced by a polite margin
✓ Sensitivities are explicit: which input, moved how far, changes the conclusion
✓ The recommendation carries a failure condition that can be observed before the money is gone
The failure mode to watch for. The characteristic finance-side failure is precision without provenance — a model accurate to two decimal places built on an assumption nobody wrote down. It survives internal review because it looks rigorous, and fails the first time somebody external asks where a number came from.
This question routes to Systems Thinking Strategy (catalog id ackoff) and works through cash weeks of runway, causes that reinforce each other, what to stop this month, stakeholder constraints on the sequence. The output is a sequence with a stopping rule, and every figure carries its derivation — which is the property that matters when the numbers have to reconcile before the story does.
Read a complete report and judge whether it would survive your own scrutiny. No email required.
No {slug}-in-{industry} pages for this question yet — those wait on a run excerpt. Home-services operators (HVAC, plumbing, electrical, landscaping, cleaning) hit the same binds as other owner-operated trades: crews fully booked, contribution unknown by job type, and growth that still depends on the owner answering the phone. Percision can analyse that shape of business. There is no /strategy-for-home-services hub yet — industry pages ship only with a named profile and an unedited run excerpt, so this language lives on the operator pages rather than as a twelfth grid.
Percision is the wrong tool if you already know the answer and only need execution capacity, or if the business is pre-revenue — then the constraint is evidence about the market, not analysis of your own figures. Percision is not a lawyer, tax advisor, auditor, licensed appraiser, clinical or regulatory filer, or an AI implementation shop. It does not do HR casework, creative-only brand work, or impersonate a named consulting firm. It is a strategy analysis engine — not a template library. Also wrong if you need facilitation, politics, or someone to sit with a lender or buyer. Those are human jobs.
Percision is not a lawyer, tax advisor, auditor, licensed appraiser, clinical or regulatory filer, or an AI implementation shop. It does not do HR casework, creative-only brand work, or impersonate a named consulting firm. It is a strategy analysis engine — not a template library.
That is what it is built for. The output states its assumptions inline, shows the derivation of each figure, and separates what came from your data from what the engine inferred. Where the data does not support a conclusion it says so rather than filling the gap, which is the property that matters when somebody checks.
A general model produces a fluent answer with no traceable derivation and no memory of what it assumed last time. The difference that matters to a finance function is not quality of prose — it is that here the arithmetic is visible, the assumptions are named, and the same company profile produces a consistent answer across a planning cycle.
Few are. The analysis works from what you have and marks explicitly which conclusions depend on the weakest inputs, which is usually more valuable than the answer itself — it tells you which part of the ledger is worth fixing first because it is currently load-bearing.
Seven to fifteen minutes against eight to twelve weeks. The honest comparison is not like-for-like: a consulting engagement includes primary research and stakeholder work this does not. What it replaces is the analytical core — the modelling, the framework application, the option ranking — which is the part that takes the longest and varies least.
Whichever is the constraint that kills you first, priced in weeks. If cash is six weeks, customer work that pays in two quarters is not the first move. If cash is fine and the book is decaying, cutting cost first removes the people who would have saved the revenue.
Percision is the wrong tool if you already know the answer and only need execution capacity, or if the business is pre-revenue — then the constraint is evidence about the market, not analysis of your own figures. Percision is not a lawyer, tax advisor, auditor, licensed appraiser, clinical or regulatory filer, or an AI implementation shop. It does not do HR casework, creative-only brand work, or impersonate a named consulting firm. It is a strategy analysis engine — not a template library. Also wrong if you need facilitation, politics, or someone to sit with a lender or buyer. Those are human jobs.
Percision is not a lawyer, tax advisor, auditor, licensed appraiser, clinical or regulatory filer, or an AI implementation shop. It does not do HR casework, creative-only brand work, or impersonate a named consulting firm. It is a strategy analysis engine — not a template library.
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